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Tonight: Partly cloudy, with a low around 75. East northeast wind 3 to 8 mph.
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Thursday: Isolated showers after 2pm.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 91. Northeast wind 5 to 7 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 20%.
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Lo 75 °FHi 91 °F
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Cape Coral | Southwest Florida Weather :: View topic - Cindy- Final Advisory
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Cindy- Final Advisory
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ccstorms
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PostPosted: Tue Jun 13, 2017 4:35 pm    Post subject: Cindy- Final Advisory Reply with quote

A number of forecast models are predicting possible tropical development in the northwest Caribbean late this week. The NHC is now monitoring that location and has tagged it with a 20% development probability.



Last edited by ccstorms on Thu Jun 22, 2017 9:20 am; edited 14 times in total
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chris
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PostPosted: Tue Jun 13, 2017 4:52 pm    Post subject: Re: Cindy- Final Advisory Reply with quote

Welcome back Lou. Thanks for the update. I just shared your update on FB / twitter to your post.
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ccstorms
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PostPosted: Wed Jun 14, 2017 2:34 am    Post subject: Re: Cindy- Final Advisory Reply with quote

2. A broad area of low pressure is expected to form over the
northwestern Caribbean Sea and adjacent land areas by the weekend.
Some gradual development of this system is possible thereafter while
it moves slowly northwestward toward the southwestern Gulf of
Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

Forecaster Blake

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ccstorms
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PostPosted: Wed Jun 14, 2017 2:37 am    Post subject: Re: Cindy- Final Advisory Reply with quote

1. A strong tropical wave over the far eastern Atlantic Ocean is
producing a large area of showers and thunderstorms well south of
the Cabo Verde Islands. Development, if any, of this system is
expected to be slow to occur over the next several days while the
wave moves westward at 15 to 20 mph over the low-latitude tropical
Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.


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ccstorms
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PostPosted: Wed Jun 14, 2017 3:03 am    Post subject: Re: Cindy- Final Advisory Reply with quote

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ccstorms
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PostPosted: Wed Jun 14, 2017 7:00 pm    Post subject: Re: Cindy- Final Advisory Reply with quote

A complex area of low pressure is expected to form over the
northwestern Caribbean Sea and the adjacent Yucatan peninsula by the
weekend. Conditions appear to be favorable for some gradual
development of this system while it moves slowly northwestward
toward the southern Gulf of Mexico by early next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

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ccstorms
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PostPosted: Thu Jun 15, 2017 5:15 am    Post subject: Re: Cindy- Final Advisory Reply with quote

A complex area of low pressure is expected to form over the
northwestern Caribbean Sea and the adjacent Yucatan peninsula by the
weekend. Conditions appear to be favorable for some development of
this system while it moves slowly northwestward toward the southern
Gulf of Mexico by early next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

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ccstorms
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PostPosted: Thu Jun 15, 2017 5:53 am    Post subject: Re: Cindy- Final Advisory Reply with quote

A complex area of low pressure is expected to form over the
northwestern Caribbean Sea and the Yucatan peninsula this
weekend. Conditions appear to be favorable for gradual development
of this system while it moves slowly northwestward toward the
southern Gulf of Mexico by early next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

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ccstorms
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PostPosted: Thu Jun 15, 2017 6:00 am    Post subject: Re: Cindy- Final Advisory Reply with quote

00Z ECMWF at 120 hours.


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ccstorms
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PostPosted: Thu Jun 15, 2017 6:11 am    Post subject: Re: Cindy- Final Advisory Reply with quote

06Z GFS at 96 hours has a developing tropical system in the eastern Gulf.



06Z GFS-P at 96 hours also has a developing system in the eastern Gulf.



00Z CMC at 120 hours has a tropical storm in the eastern gulf.

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