Posted: Thu Aug 09, 2012 3:38 pm Post subject: Re: HELENE-Final Advisory Issued.
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072012
500 PM AST THU AUG 09 2012
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS IN THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC...
SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.7N 43.8W
ABOUT 1155 MI...1860 KM E OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...32 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB...29.83 INCHES _________________ LOU
Cape Coral.
http://members.tripod.com/weatherman911/index.html
Posted: Fri Aug 10, 2012 4:44 am Post subject: Re: HELENE-Final Advisory Issued.
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0638 UTC FRI AUG 10 2012
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
TROPICAL CYCLONE SEVEN (AL072012) 20120810 0600 UTC
Posted: Sat Aug 11, 2012 9:45 am Post subject: Re: HELENE-Final Advisory Issued.
BULLETIN
REMNANTS OF SEVEN ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072012
1100 AM AST SAT AUG 11 2012
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION DEGENERATES INTO A TROPICAL WAVE...SQUALLY
WEATHER STILL LIKELY ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE LESSER ANTILLES LATER
TODAY AND TONIGHT...
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.3N 58.9W
ABOUT 40 MI...65 KM E OF BARBADOS
ABOUT 170 MI...275 KM SE OF MARTINIQUE
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 25 MPH...41 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1011 MB...29.85 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE GOVERNMENTS OF FRANCE...BARBADOS...AND ST. LUCIA HAVE
DISCONTINUED ALL TROPICAL STORM WATCHES IN THE LESSER ANTILLES.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
INTERESTS IN THE WINDWARD ISLANDS SHOULD STILL MONITOR THE PROGRESS
OF THIS SYSTEM.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
RECONNAISSANCE DATA INDICATE THAT TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN HAS
DEGENERATED INTO A TROPICAL WAVE. AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE
REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN WERE LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
13.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 58.9 WEST. THE TROPICAL WAVE IS FORECAST TO
MOVE WESTWARD ACROSS THE LESSER ANTILLES AND THE CARIBBEAN SEA OVER
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS MAINLY IN SQUALLS.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1011 MB...29.85 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE ARE STILL POSSIBLE IN SQUALLS
ACROSS THE WINDWARD ISLANDS LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT.
RAINFALL...TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES WITH
ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 3 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS
OF THE LESSER ANTILLES TODAY AND TONIGHT.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM UNLESS REGENERATION OCCURS. ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS
ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER
NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC...AND IN ROUTINE TROPICAL
WEATHER OUTLOOKS...UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATWOAT AND WMO HEADER
ABNT20 KNHC.
Posted: Mon Aug 13, 2012 1:34 pm Post subject: Re: HELENE-Final Advisory Issued.
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT MON AUG 13 2012
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN ARE MOVING OVER THE
CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA AND PRODUCING DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN NORTHWARD TO HISPANIOLA
AND JAMAICA. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY BECOME
MORE CONDUCIVE FOR REGENERATION OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS THE
SYSTEM MOVES TOWARD HONDURAS...BELIZE...AND THE YUCATAN. THIS
SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE AGAIN DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD NEAR
20 MPH. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED
TO INVESTIGATE THE DISTURBANCE TUESDAY AFTERNOON...IF NECESSARY. _________________ LOU
Cape Coral.
http://members.tripod.com/weatherman911/index.html
Posted: Mon Aug 13, 2012 2:10 pm Post subject: Re: HELENE-Final Advisory Issued.
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1733 UTC MON AUG 13 2012
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
Posted: Mon Aug 13, 2012 2:12 pm Post subject: Re: HELENE-Final Advisory Issued.
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1045 AM EDT MON 13 AUGUST 2012
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 14/1100Z TO 15/1100Z AUGUST 2012
TCPOD NUMBER.....12-087
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN
FLIGHT ONE --TEAL 72--
A. 14/1700Z
B. AFXXX 0207A INVEST
C. 14/1300Z
D. 15.5N 83.0W
E. 14/1630Z TO 14/1930Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
Posted: Thu Aug 16, 2012 1:24 pm Post subject: Re: HELENE-Final Advisory Issued.
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT THU AUG 16 2012
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON RECENTLY
UPGRADED TROPICAL STORM GORDON...LOCATED OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC
ABOUT 640 MILES EAST OF BERMUDA.
A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE...THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
SEVEN...HAS EMERGED OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE AND CONTINUES TO
PRODUCE DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. ALTHOUGH
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT...THE
PROXIMITY TO LAND WILL LIKELY LIMIT SIGNIFICANT ORGANIZATION OF
THE DISTURBANCE. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE AGAIN DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT
MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. _________________ LOU
Cape Coral.
http://members.tripod.com/weatherman911/index.html
Posted: Thu Aug 16, 2012 4:14 pm Post subject: Re: HELENE-Final Advisory Issued.
The remnants of TD-7 seem to be organizing quickly in the Bay of Campeche. The EURO and GFS bring it up the Mexican coast towards Texas. If it becomes a Tropical Depression the NHC will probably dub it TD-9 being that the LLC of TD-7 had dissipated.
_________________ LOU
Cape Coral.
http://members.tripod.com/weatherman911/index.html
Posted: Thu Aug 16, 2012 4:40 pm Post subject: Re: HELENE-Final Advisory Issued.
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0930 AM EDT THU 16 AUGUST 2012
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 17/1100Z TO 18/1100Z AUGUST 2012
TCPOD NUMBER.....12-090
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN
FLIGHT ONE --TEAL 73--
A. 17/2000Z
B. AFXXX 0207A INVEST
C. 17/1715Z
D. 20.8N 96.5W
E. 17/1930Z TO 17/2230Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
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