Posted: Wed Jul 04, 2012 10:58 am Post subject: July 4th, Possible Severe weather!!!
Wed July 4th, 1145am...
Need to keep an eye on the weather today with all outdoor activities going on! A lot of things coming together for the very good chance of severe storms. The Forecst Discussion says mainly for interior West Central and Southwest FL, but it looks like we have a good chance here on the coast as well! Things should all wrap up though before the late evening, so fireworks shoul...d still be on track!
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
931 AM EDT WED JUL 4 2012
.DISCUSSION...
A SHORT WAVE TROUGH IS APPROACHING FROM THE NE WHILE A SURFACE RIDGE AXIS REACHES WEST ACROSS SOUTH-CENTRAL FL. AREA RAOBS INDICATE INCREASING MOISTURE AND AN UNSTABLE AIR MASS. THE SURFACE RIDGE LIFTS SLIGHTLY NORTH TODAY AS IT CONTINUES WITH A WEAK GRADIENT THAT ALLOWS AN AFTERNOON SEA BREEZE TO FORM. THESE ARE INGREDIENTS FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS FROM LATE MORNING INTO EARLY EVENING...WITH THE HIGHEST ODDS ACROSS INLAND WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FL IN THE AFTERNOON. EXPECT THE SEA BREEZE TO BE THE MAIN LIFTING MECHANISM BUT WITH SOME ADDITIONAL ENERGY AND COOLER TEMPERATURES ALOFT CAN NOT RULE OUT SOME ROBUST STORMS...WITH STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND HAIL POSSIBLE. FORECASTS ARE ON TRACK WITH NO UPDATES PLANNED. _________________ Todd
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