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ccstorms
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Posts: 2471
Location: Cape Coral
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ccstorms
Senior Member
Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 2471
Location: Cape Coral
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ccstorms
Senior Member
Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 2471
Location: Cape Coral
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 Posted: Sun Aug 17, 2008 8:54 am Post subject: Re: THREAD FOR NWS & EOC STATEMENTS |
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AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL 339 AM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008
...TROPICAL STORM FAY FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN AS IT MOVES THROUGH THE EASTERN GULF TUESDAY EFFECTING SOUTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA... SHORT TERM (TODAY-TUESDAY)
A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE REMAIN IN PLACE ACROSS NORTHERN FL THIS MORNING WITH TS FAY IN PLACE SSE OF CUBA. AN UPPER TROUGH REMAINS IN PLACE OVER THE EASTERN US WITH SOME SHORTWAVE ENERGY IN PLACE OVER THE NORTHERN GULF. THIS IS EXPECTED TO MOVE OVER THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE AREA TODAY AND WILL ALLOW FOR NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...WITH SCATTERED STORMS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF. THE SURFACE FEATURES WILL LIFT NORTH AND GRADUALLY DISSIPATE THROUGH MONDAY AS FAY MOVES OVER CUBA AND INTO THE GULF WATERS. MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY WILL BE DEPENDENT ON FAY. THE CURRENT NHC FORECAST HAS FAY LIFTING NORTH AND BEGINNING TO IMPACT SW FL MONDAY NIGHT AND THEN CONTINUING NORTH AND INCREASING TO A CATEGORY 1 HURRICANE IMPACTING WEST CENTRAL FL TUESDAY. RESIDENTS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS FOR UPDATES AND FUTURE HAZARDOUS WEATHER IMPACTS ASSOCIATED WITH FAY...INCLUDING POSSIBLE SIGNIFICANT FLOODING. RESIDENTS SHOULD PREPARE NOW FOR THIS STORM.
LONG TERM (TUE NIGHT-SAT) OFFICIAL NHC TRACK OF TS FAY CONTINUES TO IMPACT ALL OF WEST CENTRAL AND SW FL. BY TUE NIGHT TROPICAL STORM TO HURRICANE CONDITION POSSIBLE AREAWIDE AS THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE N THRU THE BAY AREA AND NATURE COAST TUE NT INTO WED AND RESIDENTS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA SHOULD CONTINUE TO PREPARE FOR THIS SIGNIFICANT WX EVENT.
NUMEROUS HAZARDOUS WEATHER IMPACTS FROM FAY ARE EXPECTED AND ADDITIONAL NWS TBW PRODUCTS WILL HIGHLIGHT THESE. SIGNIFICANT FLOODING IS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE AREA INTO WED...AS WELL AS RIVER FLOODING INTO NEXT WEEKEND. ONCE FAY FINALLY MOVES N OF THE AREA LATER WED WESTERLY FLOW WILL SET UP KEEPING DEEP MOISTURE IN PLACE FOR NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY. LATER IN THE WEEK...WEAK SFC HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS AND HOLDS IN THE REGION FOR SCATTERED DIURNAL CONVECTION AND NEAR NORMAL TEMPS.
_________________
This post is for discussion purposes only. Please refer to the National Hurricane Center for official information.
Lou
Cape Coral.
http://members.tripod.com/weatherman911/index.html
http://wxman911-louwxwatch.blogspot.com/ |
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ccstorms
Senior Member
Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 2471
Location: Cape Coral
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| Posted: Sun Aug 17, 2008 9:08 am Post subject: Re: THREAD FOR NWS & EOC STATEMENTS |
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NWS TAMPA
MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS AROUND 90. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. CHANCE OF
RAIN 70 PERCENT.
.MONDAY NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. MOSTLY CLOUDY
WITH NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
MID 70S. EAST WINDS 40 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 60 MPH
INCREASING TO 50 TO 60 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 80 MPH AFTER
MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF RAIN 60 PERCENT.
.TUESDAY...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 55 TO 60 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 50 TO
60 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 80 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 70
PERCENT.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. MOSTLY
CLOUDY WITH NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN
THE MID 70S. CHANCE OF RAIN 60 PERCENT.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. CHANCE OF RAIN 50 PERCENT.
_________________
This post is for discussion purposes only. Please refer to the National Hurricane Center for official information.
Lou
Cape Coral.
http://members.tripod.com/weatherman911/index.html
http://wxman911-louwxwatch.blogspot.com/ |
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ccstorms
Senior Member
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Posts: 2471
Location: Cape Coral
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ccstorms
Senior Member
Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 2471
Location: Cape Coral
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| Posted: Sun Aug 17, 2008 10:26 pm Post subject: Re: THREAD FOR NWS & EOC STATEMENTS |
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FLZ061-062-065-180830-
DE SOTO-CHARLOTTE-LEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ARCADIA...PORT CHARLOTTE...
PUNTA GORDA...CAPE CORAL...FORT MYERS
855 PM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008
...HURRICANE WATCH IN EFFECT...
.REST OF TONIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS IN
THE EVENING...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 40 PERCENT.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS. WINDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. EAST WINDS 20 TO 35 MPH
WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 50 MPH BECOMING SOUTHEAST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO AROUND 60 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS. STRONG WINDS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS
40 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 80 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS. WINDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. CHANCE OF RAIN 60 PERCENT.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. CHANCE OF RAIN 60 PERCENT.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 70S. CHANCE OF RAIN 20 PERCENT.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS
AROUND 90. CHANCE OF RAIN 50 PERCENT.
_________________
This post is for discussion purposes only. Please refer to the National Hurricane Center for official information.
Lou
Cape Coral.
http://members.tripod.com/weatherman911/index.html
http://wxman911-louwxwatch.blogspot.com/ |
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chris
Site Admin
Joined: Jun 08, 2005
Posts: 1548
Location: Cape Coral, Florida
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| Posted: Mon Aug 18, 2008 1:13 am Post subject: Re: THREAD FOR NWS & EOC STATEMENTS |
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Marine Forecast for SWFLA...........
COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
1031 PM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008
GULF COASTAL WATERS FROM BONITA BEACH TO THE MOUTH OF THE
SUWANNEE RIVER OUT TO 60 NM.
IMPORTANT NOTICE TO MARINERS...MARINE FORECASTS ARE ISSUED AT LEAST
FOUR TIMES A DAY. BOATERS ON EXTENDED TRIPS SHOULD ROUTINELY MONITOR
SUBSEQUENT FORECAST ISSUANCES AND UPDATES FOR THE LATEST MARINE WEATHER
INFORMATION.
GMZ856-876-181015-
BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT 20 NM-
BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
1031 PM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008
HURRICANE WATCH IN EFFECT
REST OF TONIGHT
NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 25 KNOTS. SEAS 2 TO 3 FEET BUILDING TO 3 TO 5 FEET AFTER
MIDNIGHT. BAY AND INLAND WATERS A MODERATE CHOP. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
MONDAY
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
30 KNOTS. SEAS 4 TO 6 FEET. BAY AND INLAND WATERS CHOPPY.
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS.
MONDAY NIGHT
HURRICANE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. NORTHEAST WINDS
20 TO 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 40 KNOTS INCREASING TO 55 TO
65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 75 KNOTS AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 TO 7
FEET BUILDING TO 10 TO 14 FEET AFTER MIDNIGHT. BAY AND INLAND
WATERS EXTREMELY ROUGH. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS.
TUESDAY
HURRICANE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. NORTHWEST WINDS 50 TO
60 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 70 KNOTS. SEAS 10 TO 14 FEET. BAY
AND INLAND WATERS EXTREMELY ROUGH. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS.
TUESDAY NIGHT
WEST WINDS DIMINISHING TO 15 TO 20 KNOTS WITH
GUSTS TO AROUND 25 KNOTS. SEAS 6 TO 8 FEET. BAY AND INLAND WATERS
ROUGH. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS.
WEDNESDAY
WEST WINDS AROUND 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
20 KNOTS. SEAS 4 TO 6 FEET. BAY AND INLAND WATERS A MODERATE
CHOP. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS.
_________________
Chris
Site Administrator
Cape Coral and Southwest Florida Online Weather |
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CONVECTIVEMIKE
Senior Member
Joined: Jul 19, 2007
Posts: 315
Location: Tampa FL
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| Posted: Mon Aug 18, 2008 12:25 pm Post subject: Re: THREAD FOR NWS & EOC STATEMENTS |
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Warnings now for Manatee Conty
FLZ055-060>062-065-GMZ853-856-873-876-182300-
/O.UPG.KTBW.HU.A.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KTBW.HU.W.1006.080818T1601Z-000000T0000Z/
MANATEE-SARASOTA-DE SOTO-CHARLOTTE-LEE-
ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT 20 NM-
BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT 20 NM-
ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BRADENTON...SARASOTA...VENICE...
ARCADIA...PORT CHARLOTTE...PUNTA GORDA...CAPE CORAL...FORT MYERS
1201 PM EDT MON AUG 18 2008
...HURRICANE WARNING IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WATCH NO LONGER IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
AT 11 AM EDT...THE HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO A
HURRICANE WARNING.
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chris
Site Admin
Joined: Jun 08, 2005
Posts: 1548
Location: Cape Coral, Florida
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| Posted: Mon Aug 18, 2008 11:09 pm Post subject: Re: THREAD FOR NWS & EOC STATEMENTS |
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000
WTUS82 KTBW 190038
HLSTBW
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM FAY LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
838 PM EDT MON AUG 18 2008
...TROPICAL STORM FAY HEADING FOR SOUTHWEST FLORIDA...
.AT 8 PM EDT...TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.0
DEGREES NORTH...81.9 DEGREES WEST OR ABOUT 120 MILES SOUTH OF FORT
MYERS...AND ABOUT 210 MILES SOUTH OF TAMPA. FAY IS MOVING TOWARD
THE NORTH NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR
FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 998 MB...OR 29.47
INCHES. FAY MAY STILL MAKE LANDFALL IN SOUTHWEST FLORIDA AS A
CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON TUESDAY.
FLZ050-051-GMZ830-190400-
/O.CON.KTBW.TR.W.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.KTBW.HU.A.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
PINELLAS-HILLSBOROUGH-TAMPA BAY WATERS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLEARWATER...ST. PETERSBURG...BRANDON...
TAMPA
838 PM EDT MON AUG 18 2008
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
NO NEW INFORMATION.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT
FOR PINELLAS AND HILLSBOROUGH COUNTIES...TAMPA BAY...AND THE GULF
WATERS FROM NORTH OF ANNA MARIA ISLAND IN MANATEE COUNTY TO TARPON
SPRINGS IN PINELLAS COUNTY. A FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT
THROUGH 8 PM TUESDAY.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PEOPLE LOCATED IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD HAVE COMPLETED
PREPARATIONS FOR THE ONSET OF DAMAGING WINDS. THE GUSTY WINDS IN
OUTER RAIN BANDS MAY MAKE IT DIFFICULT TO TAKE PROTECTIVE ACTIONS
TUESDAY MORNING. CONTINUE TO MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR
OTHER LOCAL NEWS MEDIA...FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS
EVOLVING SITUATION WITH TROPICAL STORM FAY.
FOR DETAILED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS CHECK THE LATEST
PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT LINKED AT THE TOP OF THE NWS TAMPA
BAY HOME PAGE ( HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TAMPABAY ).
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
IT IS BECOMING LESS LIKELY THAT A SIGNIFICANT SURGE WILL OCCUR
WITH THIS STORM AS IT APPEARS THAT IT WILL MAKE LANDFALL WELL
SOUTH OF TAMPA BAY.
...WINDS...
MAXIMUM WINDS OF 50 TO 60 MPH WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS ARE EXPECTED
TO AFFECT THE WARNED AREA TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...BUT ONLY IN
ORGANIZED RAIN BANDS AND NEAR THE CENTER OF THE STORM.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK THERE IS A 45 TO 60 PERCENT
CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MPH...
BEING EXPERIENCED ACROSS THE WATCH AREA BEGINNING EARLY TUESDAY
MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. THERE IS ONLY A 5 PERCENT CHANCE
THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 74 MPH OR HIGHER...WILL
AFFECT THE AREA.
...INLAND FLOODING...
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS
ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH WEDNESDAY. A FLOOD WATCH IS CURRENTLY IN
EFFECT FOR THE AREA.
...TORNADOES...
THE PRIMARY AREA FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT IN TROPICAL SYSTEMS IS
THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF THE STORM. AS FAY MOVES NORTHWARD
ACROSS THE AREA TUESDAY AND TUESDAY EVENING...THE TORNADO THREAT
FOR THE REGION WILL BE MODERATE.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 1130 PM EDT.
$$
FLZ055-060>062-065-GMZ853-856-873-876-190400-
/O.CON.KTBW.HU.W.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
MANATEE-SARASOTA-DE SOTO-CHARLOTTE-LEE-
ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT 20 NM-
BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT 20 NM-
ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BRADENTON...SARASOTA...VENICE...
ARCADIA...PORT CHARLOTTE...PUNTA GORDA...CAPE CORAL...FORT MYERS
838 PM EDT MON AUG 18 2008
...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
NO NEW INFORMATION.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM BONITA BEACH IN LEE
COUNTY TO ANNA MARIA ISLAND IN MANATEE COUNTY. A FLOOD WATCH ALSO
REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH 8 PM TUESDAY.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PEOPLE LOCATED IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD HAVE COMPLETED
PREPARATIONS FOR THE ONSET OF DAMAGING WINDS. THE GUSTY WINDS IN
OUTER RAIN BANDS MAY MAKE IT DIFFICULT TO TAKE PROTECTIVE ACTIONS
TUESDAY MORNING. CONTINUE TO MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR
OTHER LOCAL NEWS MEDIA...FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS
EVOLVING SITUATION WITH TROPICAL STORM FAY.
FOR DETAILED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS CHECK THE LATEST
PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT LINKED AT THE TOP OF THE NWS TAMPA
BAY HOME PAGE ( HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TAMPABAY ).
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK THE MAXIMUM EXPECTED STORM SURGE IS
3 TO 5 FEET ALONG THE LEE AND CHARLOTTE COUNTY COASTS WHERE THE
CENTER IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL TUESDAY MORNING. FURTHER NORTH
ALONG THE SARASOTA AND MANATEE COUNTY COAST A SURGE OF 2 TO 4 FEET
IS POSSIBLE...MAINLY IF THE STORM MAKES LANDFALL FURTHER NORTH.
ASTRONOMICAL TIDE LEVELS MUST BE ADDED TO THESE SURGE VALUES TO
DETERMINE TOTAL STORM TIDE LEVELS.
...WINDS...
MAXIMUM WINDS OF 65 TO 75 MPH WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS ARE EXPECTED
TO AFFECT THE WARNED AREA BY EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. THE STRONGEST
WINDS WILL OCCUR NEAR TO WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL AND IN
THE STRONGER RAIN BANDS OUT AHEAD OF THE STORM.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK THERE IS A 60 TO 80 PERCENT
CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MPH...
BEING EXPERIENCED ACROSS THE WARNED AREA BEGINNING EARLY TUESDAY
MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. THERE IS ALSO A 5 TO 9 PERCENT
CHANCE THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 74 MPH OR HIGHER...
WILL AFFECT THE AREA.
...INLAND FLOODING...
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA
THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. A
FLOOD WATCH IS CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THE AREA.
...TORNADOES...
THE PRIMARY AREA FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT IN TROPICAL SYSTEMS IS
THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF THE STORM. AS FAY MOVES NORTHWARD
ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING THE TORNADO THREAT FOR
THE REGION WILL BE MODERATE TO HIGH.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 1130 PM EDT.
$$
FLZ056-057-190400-
/O.CON.KTBW.HI.W.0001.000000T0000Z-080820T0800Z/
HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WAUCHULA...SEBRING...AVON PARK
838 PM EDT MON AUG 18 2008
...HURRICANE WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT
WEDNESDAY...
...NEW INFORMATION...
NO NEW INFORMATION.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A HURRICANE WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR HARDEE AND
HIGHLANDS COUNTIES. A FLOOD WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT THROUGH 8 PM
TUESDAY.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PEOPLE LOCATED IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD HAVE COMPLETED
PREPARATIONS FOR THE ONSET OF DAMAGING WINDS. THE GUSTY WINDS IN
OUTER RAIN BANDS MAY MAKE IT DIFFICULT TO TAKE PROTECTIVE ACTIONS
TUESDAY MORNING. CONTINUE TO MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR
OTHER LOCAL NEWS MEDIA...FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS
EVOLVING SITUATION WITH TROPICAL STORM FAY.
FOR DETAILED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS CHECK THE LATEST
PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT LINKED AT THE TOP OF THE NWS TAMPA
BAY HOME PAGE ( HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TAMPABAY ).
...WINDS...
MAXIMUM WINDS OF 55 TO 65 MPH WITH GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE ARE
EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE WARNED AREA TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...
MAINLY IN STRONGER RAIN BANDS AND NEAR THE CENTER OF THE STORM.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK THERE IS A 70 TO 80 PERCENT
CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MPH...
BEING EXPERIENCED ACROSS THE WATCH AREA TUESDAY AND TUESDAY
NIGHT.
THERE IS ALSO A 5 TO 7 PERCENT CHANCE THAT HURRICANE
CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 74 MPH OR HIGHER...WILL AFFECT THE AREA.
...INLAND FLOODING...
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA
THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. A FLOOD
WATCH IS CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THE AREA.
...TORNADOES...
THE PRIMARY AREA FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT IN TROPICAL SYSTEMS IS
THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF THE STORM. AS FAY MOVES NORTHWARD
ACROSS THE AREA...THE TORNADO THREAT FOR THE REGION WILL BE
MODERATE TO HIGH.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 1130 PM EDT.
$$
FLZ052-190400-
/O.CON.KTBW.TI.W.0001.000000T0000Z-080820T0800Z/
POLK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LAKELAND...WINTER HAVEN
838 PM EDT MON AUG 18 2008
...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT
WEDNESDAY...
...NEW INFORMATION...
NO NEW INFORMATION.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR POLK COUNTY. A
FLOOD WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT THROUGH 8 PM TUESDAY.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PEOPLE LOCATED IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD HAVE COMPLETED
PREPARATIONS FOR THE ONSET OF DAMAGING WINDS. THE GUSTY WINDS IN
OUTER RAIN BANDS MAY MAKE IT DIFFICULT TO TAKE PROTECTIVE ACTIONS
TUESDAY MORNING. CONTINUE TO MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR
OTHER LOCAL NEWS MEDIA...FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS
EVOLVING SITUATION WITH TROPICAL STORM FAY.
FOR DETAILED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS CHECK THE LATEST
PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT LINKED AT THE TOP OF THE NWS TAMPA
BAY HOME PAGE ( HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TAMPABAY ).
...WINDS...
MAXIMUM WINDS OF 50 TO 60 MPH WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS ARE EXPECTED
TO AFFECT THE WARNED AREA TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...MAINLY IN
STRONGER RAIN BANDS AND NEAR THE CENTER OF TH STORM.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK THERE IS A 60 TO 75 PERCENT
CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MPH...
BEING EXPERIENCED ACROSS THE WATCH AREA TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
TUESDAY NIGHT. THERE IS ONLY A 5 PERCENT CHANCE THAT HURRICANE
CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 74 MPH OR HIGHER... WILL AFFECT THE AREA.
...INLAND FLOODING...
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA
THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. A FLOOD
WATCH IS CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THE AREA.
...TORNADOES...
THE PRIMARY AREA FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT IN TROPICAL SYSTEMS IS
THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF THE STORM. AS FAY MOVES NORTHWARD
ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...THE TORNADO THREAT FOR
THE REGION WILL BE MODERATE.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 1130 PM EDT.
$$
FLZ043-190400-
/O.CON.KTBW.TI.A.0001.000000T0000Z-080820T0800Z/
SUMTER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUSHNELL...THE VILLAGES
838 PM EDT MON AUG 18 2008
...TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE
TUESDAY NIGHT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
NO NEW INFORMATION.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR SUMTER COUNTY.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PEOPLE LOCATED IN THE WATCH AREA ARE ENCOURAGED TO FREQUENTLY
MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS MEDIA...FOR THE
LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS EVOLVING SITUATION WITH TROPICAL STORM
FAY.
FOR DETAILED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS CHECK THE
LATEST PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT LINKED AT THE TOP OF THE NWS
TAMPA BAY HOME PAGE ( HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TAMPABAY ).
...WINDS...
MAXIMUM WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS MAY AFFECT
THE WATCH AREA TUESDAY NIGHT.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK THERE IS A 50 TO 55 PERCENT
CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MPH...
BEING EXPERIENCED ACROSS THE WATCH AREA TUESDAY NIGHT. THERE IS
LESS THAN A 5 PERCENT CHANCE THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS...WINDS OF
74 MPH OR HIGHER... WILL AFFECT THE AREA.
...INLAND FLOODING...
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA
THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. A FLOOD
WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED LATER TONIGHT OR ON TUESDAY.
...TORNADOES...
THE PRIMARY AREA FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT IN TROPICAL SYSTEMS IS
THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF THE STORM. AS FAY MOVES NORTHWARD
JUST EAST OF THE AREA TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...THE TORNADO
THREAT FOR THE REGION WILL BE LOW.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 1130 PM EDT.
$$
FLZ039-042-048-049-GMZ850-870-190400-
/O.CON.KTBW.HU.S.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
LEVY-CITRUS-HERNANDO-PASCO-
TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT 20 NM-
TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CEDAR KEY...CHIEFLAND...CRYSTAL RIVER...
INVERNESS...BROOKSVILLE...SPRING HILL...NEW PORT RICHEY...
ZEPHYRHILLS
838 PM EDT MON AUG 18 2008
...NEW INFORMATION...
NO UPDATES/CHANGES AT THIS TIME.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
RESIDENTS AND VISITORS ARE ENCOURAGED TO FREQUENTLY MONITOR NOAA
WEATHER RADIO...OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS MEDIA...FOR THE LATEST
INFORMATION ON THIS EVOLVING SITUATION WITH TROPICAL STORM FAY.
FOR DETAILED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS CHECK THE LATEST
PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT LINKED AT THE TOP OF THE NWS TAMPA
BAY HOME PAGE ( HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TAMPABAY ).
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
NO SIGNIFICANT STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
...WINDS...
WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE IN SOME OF THE RAIN BANDS
AS WEAKENING TROPICAL STORM FAY MOVES BY TO THE EAST TUESDAY
NIGHT.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK THERE IS A 30 TO 50 PERCENT
CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MPH...
BEING EXPERIENCED ACROSS THE WATCH AREA TUESDAY AFTERNOON INTO
EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. THERE IS LESS THAN A 5 PERCENT CHANCE
THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 74 MPH OR HIGHER...WILL
AFFECT THE AREA.
...INLAND FLOODING...
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA
THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. A FLOOD
WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR THIS AREA LATER TONIGHT OR TUESDAY.
...TORNADOES...
THE PRIMARY AREA FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT IN TROPICAL SYSTEMS IS
THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF THE STORM. SINCE FAY WILL BE MOVING
BY TO THE EAST...THE TORNADO THREAT FOR THE REGION WILL BE LOW.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 1130 PM EDT.
_________________
Chris
Site Administrator
Cape Coral and Southwest Florida Online Weather |
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chris
Site Admin
Joined: Jun 08, 2005
Posts: 1548
Location: Cape Coral, Florida
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| Posted: Tue Aug 19, 2008 12:08 am Post subject: Re: THREAD FOR NWS & EOC STATEMENTS |
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Tornado Watch - Lee (Florida)
Updated: Mon, 18 Aug 2008 23:59:17
TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 840
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1040 PM EDT MON AUG 18 2008
TORNADO WATCH 840 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 AM EDT FOR THE
FOLLOWING LOCATIONS
FLC009-011-015-021-027-043-049-051-055-061-071-085-086-087-093-
097-099-105-111-191200-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0840.080819T0240Z-080819T1200Z/
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BREVARD BROWARD CHARLOTTE
COLLIER DESOTO GLADES
HARDEE HENDRY HIGHLANDS
INDIAN RIVER LEE MARTIN
MIAMI-DADE MONROE OKEECHOBEE
OSCEOLA PALM BEACH POLK
ST. LUCIE
_________________
Chris
Site Administrator
Cape Coral and Southwest Florida Online Weather |
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